COVID-19: Over 1.6 billion jobs in informal sector at risk over – ILO

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The International Labour Organisation has sounded the alarm that no fewer than 1.6 billion jobs in the informal sector of the economy are at risk.

The Geneva-based agency in its latest edition of ‘ILO Monitor’ explained that the loss was occasioned by the continued sharp decline in working hours globally due to the coronavirus disease that has ravaged the world.

ILO noted that the number was nearly half of the global workforce adding that the drop in working hours in the second quarter of 2020 was expected to be significantly worse than previously estimated.

It warned that “compared to pre-crisis levels (Q4 2019), a 10.5 per cent deterioration is now expected, equivalent to 305 million full-time jobs (assuming a 48-hour working week).

“The previous estimate was for a 6.7 percent drop, equivalent to 195 million full-time workers. This is due to the prolongation and extension of lockdown measures.

“Regionally, the situation has worsened for all major regional groups. Estimates suggest a 12.4 percent loss of working hours in Q2 for the Americas (compared to pre-crisis levels) and 11.8 percent for Europe and Central Asia. The estimates for the rest of the regional groups follow closely and are all above 9.5 percent.

“As a result of the economic crisis created by the pandemic, almost 1.6 billion informal economy workers (representing the most vulnerable in the labour market), out of a worldwide total of two billion and a global workforce of 3.3 billion, have suffered massive damage to their capacity to earn a living.

“This is due to lockdown measures and/or because they work in the hardest-hit sectors.

“The first month of the crisis is estimated to have resulted in a drop of 60 percent in the income of informal workers globally. This translates into a drop of 81 percent in Africa and the Americas, 21.6 percent in Asia and the Pacific, and 70 percent in Europe and Central Asia.

“Without alternative income sources, these workers and their families will have no means to survive.

“The proportion of workers living in countries under recommended or required workplace closures has decreased from 81 to 68 percent over the last two weeks.

The decline from the previous estimate of 81 percent in the second edition of the monitor (published April 7) is primarily a result of changes in China; elsewhere workplace closure measures have increased.

“Worldwide, more than 436 million enterprises face high risks of serious disruption. These enterprises are operating in the hardest-hit economic sectors, including some 232 million in wholesale and retail, 111 million in manufacturing, 51 million in accommodation and food services, and 42 million in real estate and other business activities,” said ILO.

On the way out of the situation, ILO called for “urgent, targeted and flexible measures to support workers and businesses, particularly smaller enterprises, those in the informal economy and others who are vulnerable.

Commenting on the report, the director general of the agency, Guy Ryder, said: “For millions of workers, no income means no food, no security and no future. As the pandemic and the jobs crisis evolve, the need to protect the most vulnerable becomes even more urgent.

“Measures for economic reactivation should follow a job-rich approach, backed by stronger employment policies and institutions, better-resourced and comprehensive social protection systems.

“International co-ordination on stimulus packages and debt relief measures will also be critical to making recovery effective and sustainable. International labour standards, which already enjoy tripartite consensus, can provide a framework.

“As the pandemic and the jobs crisis evolve, the need to protect the most vulnerable becomes even more urgent.

“For millions of workers, no income means no food, no security and no future. Millions of businesses around the world are barely breathing. They have no savings or access to credit. These are the real faces of the world of work. If we don’t help them now, these enterprises will simply perish.”

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